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  • Ted Cruz surges in Iowa! Over the last month, Ben Carson has fallen by 8% in Iowa while Ted Cruz has gained 9%, putting him in second place with 21% of the vote. Trump still leads with 30%,  Carson has fallen to third place at 19%,  Marco Rubio is in 4th place with 11%, followed by Jeb Bush with only 5%.  Full details here. 

  • Most Americans, Democrats and Republicans, oppose Obama’s plans for Syrian refugees in the US.  In the most recent Fox News Poll voters feel,

    — The U.S. is at war with radical Islam, and Democrats who refuse to call the enemy by that name are doing the wrong thing.

    — Obama has not fought the war against ISIS aggressively enough, and that war is going badly.

    — Terrorism is now the top problem facing the country, and an attack is likely soon.

    — Bringing Syrian refugees into the U.S. is a bad idea, and a religious test would be shameful.

    — Closing Gitmo is wrong, and Obama should not side step Congress to do so.

    Details of the poll here. 


  • Cruz submits petitions in Virginia. On Friday Ted Cruz submitted  “significantly more signatures” than the 5,000 required to be on the Virginia Republican primary ballot on March 1st.  Cruz is the fifth candidate to qualify after Donald Trump, Ohio Governor John Kasich, Governor Jeb Bush, and Ben Carson.  Details here and here. 

  • Democrat John Bel Edwards elected Governor in Louisiana.  On Saturday John Bel Edwards, a state Representative, beat Republican US Senator David Vitter to become Governor of Louisiana. Edwards won with 55% of the vote to Vitter’s 45%.  In his concession speech David Vitter said he would not run for re-election when his term expires next year.  More here and here. 

  • The 4th Amendment is just as important today as it was in 1791.  

    Many in the intelligence community have used last week’s attacks in Paris as an opportunity to contend that privacy is a luxury that our brave new world simply cannot afford. Washington’s power players renewed their call for private companies like Apple and Google to allow “backdoors” into their products–and subsequently the private lives of their customers. Former CIA official Michael Morrell suggested that the debate over encryption and privacy might have different results this time, with the public reeling from scenes of bloodshed in Paris. As Patrick Tucker of Defense One recently wrote, “the enemies of encryption have their knives drawn.” While I will forgo repeating the oft-cited Ben Franklin line about liberty and security, I will say this: We cannot allow fear to dictate our policies, or compel us to cast our Constitution to the wayside. Power corrupts–and power will inevitably be abused. The 4th Amendment is just as important today as it was in 1791.

  • In Republican primaries moderates have a structural advantage.  This will make it very difficult for the grassroots and outsider candidates to win the nomination. 

    As The New York Times’ Nate Cohn astutely observed in January, Republicans in blue states hold surprising power in the GOP presidential primary process even though they are “all but extinct in Washington, since their candidates lose general elections to Democrats.”

    The Bluer a district, the more value they have in our Republican primaries.

    Read the article, it helps explain why we were stuck with McCain and Romney and why a moderate is more likely to win this time around too. Is this what Jeb! is counting on?

  • The Clintons have accumulated $3 BILLION in donations over 41 years.  Two billion has been given to the Clinton Foundation and another billion in political donations.  The Washington Post explains how the Clintons have accumulated this vast wealth. 

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