In the latest WashingtonPost/ABCnews poll Clinton has pulled ahead of Trump by 12%, with Clinton’s support at 51% and Trump’s at 39%. When Gary Johnson and Jill Stein are included Clinton is still up 10%, 47-37%. When asked if the candidates are qualified to be President, 37% said Hillary was not qualified, and a whopping 64% said Trump was not qualified.
From the Washington Post:
Roughly two in three Americans say they think Trump is unqualified to lead the nation; are anxious about the idea of him as president; believe his comments about women, minorities and Muslims show an unfair bias; and see his attacks on a federal judge because of his Mexican American heritage as racist.
A slimmer majority say they disapprove of the way Clinton has handled questions about her use of a personal email server while she was secretary of state, and half of Americans are anxious about the prospect of a Clinton presidency, underscoring the historic unpopularity of the two major-party candidates.
Some voters feel so strongly that we need a change in Washington they will vote for Trump even though they disapprove of him.
There are only 18% of voters who will consider a third party candidate and 78% who will not.
Overall it seems voters don’t particularly like or trust either Trump or Clinton but they fear a Trump Presidency more than they fear Hillary in the White House. BUT Hillary’s support is far more shaky than Trump’s. Trump’s supporters are much more likely to go to the polls. While Hillary has a huge lead with Hispanics, only 44% of them said they were certain to go to the polls. Among white women there is less support for Trump than there was for Romney but fewer say they will definitely vote. With both candidates being so unpopular, this could be an historically low turnout which should favor Trump.