In a new Monmouth University poll, Democrat state senator Jennifer Wexton holds a 10 point lead over Republican Congresswoman Barbara Comstock. Wexton’s support among Democrats is more than solid, 97 to 1. Comstock’s support among Republicans is 85 to 10.
“This part of the commonwealth was a critical factor in the blue wave that elected Democrats in last year’s election for governor and state legislature. Not much has changed in the political environment since then, with Pres. Trump creating a significant drag for Comstock,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
Voters are divided on their opinion of Comstock – 32% have a favorable view and 36% have an unfavorable view of the incumbent, with 32% having no opinion. When they put aside issue stands, nearly half of the electorate (46%) says the two-term congresswoman has generally done a good job serving the needs of her constituents, while 30% say she has done a bad job. The challenger Wexton is not as well known – 30% have a favorable view of her and 10% have an unfavorable view, with 59% offering no opinion – but voters are inclined to think that she can capably serve the 10th district’s residents – 48% say she would do a good job and 17% say a bad job.
That makes little sense, most voters don’t know Wexton but they think she would do a good job. Does it only take a (D) after a candidates name for voters to believe the candidate will do a good job?
As expected Trump has a large influence on the 10th district election,
The incumbent’s reelection prospects are weighted down by voters’ negative views of Pres. Trump – 53% disapprove of the job he has done compared to 42% who approve. Importantly, those who strongly disapprove (47%) far outnumber those who strongly approve (24%). Also, 70% of those who oppose the president’s actions say it is very important for them to cast a vote in the House race that shows their feelings about the president. A smaller number of those who support the president (58%) say the same about their House vote. More VA-10 voters say Comstock has been too supportive of Trump (34%) than say she has either been not supportive enough (17%) or has offered the right amount of support (23%). Another 26% are not sure.
This is very early polling. No one should ever underestimate Congresswoman Comstock. There is no candidate who works harder than she does. Don’t bet against her winning again in November.
More poll details on the poll here.