As of 9:30 this morning, according to multiple poll watchers, the average turnout in Giles County voting precincts was 3.Â Yes you read that correctly, 3 Democratic voters per precinct in Giles County.Â In one Lynchburg precinct (Ward 3 5th Precinct), as of 10 am, that precinct had seen 11 voters.Â Jubilee Center in Lynchburg had 9 voters by 11 am.Â This is one of the strongest Democratic precincts in Lynchburg.Â Â
You are reading these numbers correctly. In Jubilee Center, which had approximately 398 voters on Primary Election Day in 2017, so far today only 9 voters (this as of 11 am). Obviously those numbers will change. But we can deduce certain things from this low turnout. Among them is the fact that Democrats arenâ€™t that fired up to vote as they had been in previous gubernatorial primary elections. Another is the fact that Democrats arenâ€™t too thrilled about their choices for Governor.
Democratic voter turnout in Bedford County is off as well. Numbers from two precincts in Rockbridge/Buena Vista/Lexington area were off as well.
Again these numbers are only from the 6th and 9th Congressional Districts. But these numbers are very telling about Democratic enthusiasm in rural Virginia. For example, in Strasburg Precinct in 2017, Democrats â€“ who usually have between 50 and 75 voters on Primary day, had 204 voters on Primary Election Day 2017. This high turnout in Strasburg from 2017 was purely organic. Turnout in Strasburg today seems to be about the norm for my Town.
Does this mean that Republicans will win come November?Â No, it does not.Â A lot of work needs to be done between now and November 2, 2021.Â But one thing that is necessary is for Democratic voters to be turned off by their ticket and the process.Â And so far that is happening. Â