A poll released today by Emerson College/Nexstar of likely voters in Virginia shows McAuliffe leading by only one point, 49 to 48%. As expected, McAuliffe leads in urban areas and Youngkin leads in rural areas, but surprisingly Youngkin leads by one point in the suburbs, 49% to 48% and Youngkin leads with Hispanic voters 55% to 45%. That is significant. Democrats can no longer take the Hispanic vote for granted.
From Emerson polling:
McAuliffe leads Youngkin in the Northern region of the state (the 8th, 10th, and 11th congressional districts), 64% to 36%, and in the Southeast region (the 3rd and 4th congressional districts) 63% to 31%. Youngkin leads in the Western region (the 5th, 6th, and 9th congressional districts) 61% to 36%, and in the East Coast region (the 1st, 2nd, and 7th congressional districts) 58% to 36%.
In the race for Attorney General, Republican Jason Miyares has closed the gap between him and his opponent to less than 2%, solidly in the margin of error.
More from the poll:
President Biden’s approval is underwater in the state he won by ten points in 2020, as he sits at 45% approval and 48% disapproval, with 8% neutral. When respondents were asked if Biden’s endorsement of McAuliffe made them more or less likely to support his candidacy, 22% said more likely, 39% said less likely, and 38% said it had no difference.
It’s not surprising that Biden is underwater in Virginia, as he is in nearly every poll nationwide. In the latest poll, Quinnipiac, he is down by 13% disapproval over approval, with the majority saying the Biden administration is incompetent. Biden is proving to be a terrible President. That will help Republicans a great deal, this year and next. We can win in Virginia this year and take back the House and the Senate next year.
Our candidates need to focus on tying Democrat candidates to Biden like an anchor. McAuliffe is fully aware that Biden can sink him, as evidenced here. Republican candidates are moving ahead at just the right time and I expect in the coming days to see polls showing us in the lead across the commonwealth. In the meantime, Republicans need to continue to head to the polls to vote early. We can win this but we need every vote, don’t chance it, VOTE NOW!