After 9 rounds of counting in a ranked choice contest, retired Navy Captain Hung Cao went over 50% to win the Republican nomination for Congress in the 10th Congressional district.
As compiled by our friend Stephen Spiker at Bearingdrift.com:
Round 1:
Hung Cao: 42.0%
Jeanine Lawson: 28.9%
Brandon Michon: 10.2%
Mike Clancy: 4.8%
Caleb Max: 4.1%
John Henley: 4.0%
David Beckwith: 2.0%
Theresa Coates Ellis: 1.7%
John Beatty: 1.5%
Jeff Mayhugh: 0.4%
Brooke Taylor: 0.4%
Brooke Taylor was dropped and her second place votes were spread over the remaining candidates.
Round 2:
Cao: 42.1% (+0.1%)
Lawson: 29.0% (+0.1%)
Michon: 10.3% (+0.1%)
Clancy: 4.8% (-)
Max: 4.1% (-)
Henley: 4.1% (+0.1%)
Beckwith: 2.0% (-)
Ellis: 1.7% (-)
Beatty: 1.5% (-)
Mayhugh: 0.4% (-)
In Round 3 Mayhugh was dropped and his second place votes were spread over the remaining candidates:
Round 3:
(redistributing Mayhugh’s voters)
Cao: 42.3% (+0.2%)
Lawson: 29.0% (-)
Michon: 10.3% (-)
Clancy: 4.8% (-)
Max: 4.1% (-)
Henley: 4.1% (-)
Beckwith: 2.1% (+0.1%)
Ellis: 1.8% (+0.1%)
Beatty: 1.6% (+0.1%)
Round 4:
(redistributing Beatty’s voters)
Cao: 42.8% (+0.5%)
Lawson: 29.3% (+0.3%)
Michon: 10.5% (+0.2%)
Clancy: 4.9% (+0.1%)
Max: 4.3% (+0.2%)
Henley: 4.2% (+0.1%)
Beckwith: 2.2% (+0.1%)
Ellis: 1.9% (+0.1%)
Round 5:
(redistributing Ellis’s voters)
Cao: 43.5% (+0.7%)
Lawson: 29.8% (+0.5%)
Michon: 10.7% (+0.2%)
Clancy: 5.1% (+0.2%)
Max: 4.5% (+0.2%)
Henley: 4.3% (+0.1%)
Beckwith: 2.2% (-)
Round 6:
(redistributing Beckwith’s voters)
Cao: 44.3% (+0.8%)
Lawson: 30.3% (+0.5%)
Michon: 10.9% (+0.2%)
Clancy: 5.3% (+0.2%)
Max: 4.7% (+0.2%)
Henley: 4.5% (+0.2%)
Round 7:
(redistributing Henley’s voters)
Cao: 46.6% (+2.1%)
Lawson: 31.2% (+0.9%)
Michon: 11.5% (+0.6%)
Clancy: 5.8% (+0.5%)
Max: 4.8% (+0.1%)
Round 8:
(redistributing Max’s voters)
Cao: 48.7% (+2.1%)
Lawson: 32.3% (+1.1%)
Michon: 12.5% (+1.0%)
Clancy: 6.6% (+0.8%)
Round 9:
(redistributing Clancy’s voters)
Cao: 52.2% (+3.5%)
Lawson: 33.8% (+1.5%)
Michon: 13.9% (+1.4%)
Cao wins!
16 comments
21 dead in Texas school shooting.
VA LyGov Losesome Sears is keynote speaker at this weekend NRA convention. In Texas .
Here’s some more numbers for the local “conservatives” here:
USA – 288
Mexico – 8
South Africa – 6
India – 5
Nigeria – 4
Pakistan – 4
Afghanistan – 3
Canada – 2
France – 2
Brazil – 2
Estonia – 1
Hungary – 1
Azerbaijan – 1
Greece – 1
Kenya – 1
Germany – 1
Turkey – 1
Russia – 1
China – 1
USA wins! For a group that claims to care about protecting life, you damn sure don’t.
Now how about the breakdown by units and voting locations?
Where are the official results and when were they made available?
Are we to assume that Jeanine’s sources, or some random claiming exclusive manual transcription are the one and only true source?
Why could no other outlet report on them?
What do the other candidates get for their $7 grand? What does the Republican electorate get PROVING exactly how the election went down?
I’d assume there would be observers, some kind of Tellers report showing the total results of this fair, open, and above board process. About when will we get the excuse that ‘we didn’t track ballots by location’ or ‘we didn’t use different color ballots’ or ‘I thought they were in the trunk of his/her minivan.’ or ‘all those records were disposed of after the count?’
I’m happy, I had a Hung Cao sign in my yard, and I’d support the nominee in any case. I just want to demonstrate to the rest of the party and state how we did things right. Full disclosure, full results, just as we would for any of our processes.
Or let’s bring Dinesh in to film “20 Pachyderms” in our fancy new district.
I’m reminded of Jethro and ciphering by ‘gazintas.’ Like ‘how many 10’s ‘gazinta’ 100?’
So how many ‘percentas’ did I get to vote on Saturday?
I’d like to know so that I can punch all that into my ‘gonkulator.’
Good to see you and your humor back on TBE!
It’s more of a compulsion, like junk food. I know it’s not good for me, I know it’s better if I just let it go. But I figure if we let the party continue toward the stupid horizon at its current speed and intensity, we will see corpses of the Virginia Founders and Forefathers corkscrewing out of their graves into the sky, I’d prefer we try not to top the past couple of years in my lifetime.
I can share with you the spreadsheet that I used. It tracks votes by locality, round-by-round.
The 10th District Committee has the official results tally. I know it was shared with VPAP. All of the candidates had observers overseeing the count, so there is no need to just take someone’s “word” on a blog that these are the results. They are.
Well thank you very much for taking the time and effort to do this. I saw that VPAP seems to be working from 10 data (or they divided out the percentages.) I think this graphic is OK, but I would have preferred more Edward Tufte.
We have come to expect total and complete perfect data within 15 minutes of polls closing, so I think it only equally fair and unrealistic to expect the same from the party in a party run process.
I am very disappointed with a one-liner with percentages only as the official results — it screams that we’re hiding something by only providing percentages in our pointless and confusing voting method. The candidates that paid $7 large each and the entire Republican district electorate deserve the full crosstabs as soon as possible after the election — open party, open tent, open kimono.
I look forward to the locality voting results, I’m wondering if the party received an infusion of ‘new’ Republicans as we did with the Youngkin and Comstock nominations. We need it!
Here’s your chance at redemption Lady J. I’ll even give you the headline: Trumpers Just Got Their Asses Kicked
Now, you go ahead and fill in the numbers for us.
Did you really just steal my work? Without attribution or anything? Unbelievable.
CAREFUL!!! She will ban you from TBE!
The useless fool woman who “publishes” your Lincoln Project Blog… is that who funds your crap? Banned me for point out the dreck she publsihes… under the guise of “conservative”
I went to your horsecrap blog years ago when Kenney wrote the only article on that stupid thing that got thousands of readers because he got noticed by the Daily Caller…
The one about he has a beef about Pedro carrying disease… It was his defense of amnesty uber allies and forever…
Ask Kenney if immigration carries disease now after the Covid shutdowns…
You and your horserap blog of Never Trumper Lincoln Project horseshit aren’t worth reading or stealing from. How’s that little pendejo who votes for Clinton and likes wars… little chickenshit never went to a war himself did he… what is that little pukes name again?
No one reads your blog….except for the three or four liberals who post there constantly… one little punk comes here…
And what is your stupid post anyway.. just a list of votes. Whoopee!!
We’re you born stupid?
Asking for a friend.
Good comment Bearing Drift kitty boy.