Quinnipiac’s latest poll of the presidential contest doesn’t look good for Hillary and anyone named Bush. It looks very good for Trump and potential candidate Joe Biden. Probably the biggest surprise is the slow but steady rise of Ben Carson.
If you add the percentages reflected here among all non-politicians on the Republican side (Trump, Carson, Fiorina), it gets you to 40%. That says a lot, my friends. Add in firey anti-establishment types like Cruz and Paul and it gets you to almost 50%. As pollster Frank Luntz said a few days ago, this electorate is very angry at what it views as the Republican establishment, and that’s borne out in this new poll.
Less relevant—but much more interesting—is the poll’s take on candidates the respondents would never consider voting for. Here, it is plain that Trump is the lightning rod, and that Bush is carrying some family baggage. By this measure, only Trump, Carson, Rubio, and Fiorina have more people supporting them than that would not think of supporting them (with Carson being the standout with a +7 differential).
Also interesting is that Fiorina is the only candidate who doesn’t register on the negative list.
When asked about the three highest profile candidates in the race (Trump, Clinton, and Bush), respondents weren’t very kind. Asked to describe each in a one word answer, the top responses were:
Trump: Arrogant
Clinton: Liar
Bush: Bush
Who knew Bush was now a four-letter word?
Another interesting take on this comprehensive poll was on the hypothetical matchups, particularly in the big swing states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida. Hillary is in trouble my friends.
If you’re having trouble making sense of the polls, and understanding the ever-growing power of Trump, you’re not alone. From The Hill: Pollsters Dumbfounded by Trump.
This is not a normal year.
9 comments
Desperation is driving people to Trump.
No, not really. It’s anger. People are totally pissed off at both parties and their handlers. Trump and Sanders are the people’s warning that these two political parties had better start getting their stuff together. This same ole same ole crap is not going to work anymore. No more Bush, no more Clinton, no more Koch heads or Soros stringers. Trump and Sanders are the people’s way of kicking The First Class in the ass.
Desperation is when the second amendment kicks in, instead of selecting the least viable electable alternative.
Desperation is driving people to Trump. History is so important. When Obama ran as a moderate who can unite the country, all voters needed to do was look at his history to know he was the most liberal member of the senate and played racial politics regularly. Voters are about to make the same mistake with Trump if they ignore the fact that he will say and do anything and has wandered all over the political spectrum. He’s not a conservative, but the other presidential candidates better take note that taking tough, unapologetic stands is the way to win the hearts and minds of the voters. Voters are sick of Republicans playing defense all the time.
How about this poll, as reported by Univision, Trump in fact is leading among Hispanic republicans! http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2015/08/05/boom-univision-reluctantly-reports-donald-trump-leading-with-latino-republicans/
Just look at top 15 descriptions of Donald Trump. Yeah, this guy sure has a broad range of support :rollseyes
arrogant
blowhard
idiot
businessman
clown
honest
ego
money
outspoken
crazy
rich
showman
strong
asshole
joke
Trump doesn’t have to get 50% of the national electorate. He doesn’t even have to get 50% of the GOP electorate. He’s dominating the field with 20% to 30% of the GOP vote by owning the part of the GOP base (the lion’s share of it) who feel aggrieved and threatened and crave and respect dominance.
wouldn’t he need pretty much 50% of the electorate to win the election? I admit, math was never my strength…
I assumed it was obvious he couldn’t win. In other words, he doesn’t need to with the national election as he’s really only in this for his own personal victory.
It may be clearer to say he’s being touted as this massive “appeal” candidate far ahead of everyone, but in fact, he’s just dominating a very small segment of the electorate. The agrievated and threatened.
and I somehow doubt that Jeb’s biggest weakness is money so if that is the reason they courted Cantor I’m not really sure if that is worth the grief he has brought on himself.
If Jeb gets the Cantor endorsement, it mite put a lot of money in his coffer, but in my opinion, he can kiss Virginia goodbye.
It is total insanity to ram 2008 down the middle-class throats again. No doubt the Trump numbers increased in Virginia today, and will tomorrow.