First The Wall Street Journal poll, Trump now leads with 19% of the vote, up from just 1% in June. Jeb Bush who was at 22% in June now has only 14%, trailing Scott Walker by one percentage point. Rubio fell from third place in June to 8th place in the current poll, down from 14% to only 5%.
Ben Carson remains in 4th place with 10% of the vote, down only 1% since June.
In the larger Monmouth University poll Trump now enjoys a 2 to 1 advantage over his two closest rivals. Trump has 26% support with Jeb Bush in second with 12% of the vote and Scott Walker with 11%. That means Trump does better than his two closest competitors combined. Trump’s support has grown by 13% in just three weeks.
Rounding out the rest of the “top ten” in Monmouth poll are Ted Cruz (6%), Mike Huckabee (6%), Ben Carson (5%), Chris Christie (4%), Rand Paul (4%), Marco Rubio (4%), and John Kasich (3%). Carly Fiorina and Rick Perry each earn 2% and Bobby Jindal, Rick Santorum, Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, and Jim Gilmore each get 1% or less. Another 10% of GOP voters are unsure who they will support for the nomination.
Even more impressive for Trump is his support is across all demographics,
Ideology – Trump leads Walker 27% to 16% among very conservative voters; has 22% support among somewhat conservative voters to 14% for Bush and 12% for Walker; and takes 28% of the moderate to liberal voter compared to 20% for Bush.
Tea Party – Tea Party supporters back Trump (35%) over Walker (15%) and Cruz (11%). Non-Tea Party supporters split their top support between Trump (20%) and Bush (16%).
Age – Trump (26%) has a clear lead over Bush (15%) and Walker (12%) among voters age 50 and older. Those under 50 years old also prefer Trump (26%) over Walker (10%) and Bush 9%.
Gender – Trump leads among both male and female Republicans, with men (32%) giving him a large advantage over Bush (13%) and Walker (11%). Women (20%) give him a narrower lead over Walker (12%) and Bush (11%).
It appears Trump’s comments on John McCain did not hurt him at all. His favorable ratings continue to climb rapidly,
It now stands at 52% favorable to 35% unfavorable. It was 40% favorable to 41% unfavorable three weeks ago. Before he announced in June, it stood at a significantly negative 20% favorable to 55% unfavorable.
Only Marco Rubio has higher favorable ratings at 54% to 11% unfavorable ratings.
Read all the results of the Monmouth poll here.
UPDATE: Fox News released their latest poll today with similar results. Trump leads with 26%, up from only 11% a month ago. That’s the highest percentage for any Republican going back to 2013. Jeb Bush is the only other Republican in double digits with 15%. Read more details of the Fox poll here.
15 comments
For the last few weeks, we have listened to the media and other Republican leaders come up with every possible negative adjective and adverb to describe Trump. It appears that they are now exhausted and have to deal with some clear realities – Trump speaks for a lot of folks within the Party and the favorite son, Jeb Bush, does not. Trump may be “fired” within a couple of months, but he has done a great service by enlivening the campaign and pointing out a lot of issues that anger and frustrate the “silent majority”. Best of all, he has shown that you need not cower in the face of criticism but boldly go on offense.
I would love to have seen him take on Candy Crowley in the 2012 debate. He would have chewed her up and demanded she be replaced on the spot.
Remember MR. Wood’s previous story here on BE , 47% are Independent.
How many billions in advertising will be spent on that vote { the vote that will elect the next President } ?
When Trump talks coal it will be all over , he will carry the members of the coal miners union and the right to work miner also.
A softy White – Collar Republican won’t stand a chance.
“Only dead fish go with the flow” , Sarah Palin
These polls will carry a lot more weight after the first couple of debates. Anyone taking bets on whether The Donald will make an ass of himself?
This guy IS NOT a serious candidate. He’s an embodiment of legitimate anger and frustration, to be sure. This goes to a point Jeanine made earlier about other candidates needing to learn to tap into that discontent (which is really the manifestation of a desire for bold, pro-American leadership). But he is thoroughly unconservative, and doesn’t have a snowball’s chance of winning the nomination.
Considering The Donald is going to bring in the viewers, half longing for his chutzpah, half hoping he will implode, it should be the event of the year! Sadly, only a few of the ever growing GOP candidate pool has the conservative foundation or the will to be bold and pro-American.
IF, by chance, The Donald shows good, I wonder what the establishment class will do? With the amount of anger the base has for the squishy establishment GOP leadership, I certainly would not bet against The Donald or the message he could bring to what will be a very large audience.
spot on ” bold pro-American ”
He appears bolder every day , and other Republican Candidates { Cruz , Paul excluded }
grow weaker and more internationally liberal.
Well, he might not have been a serious candidate, but he is now. The question is does he have staying power.
Jeanine, how long until you officially come out in support of Trump?
So sorry Stephen, as much as you would like that to happen it won’t for the simple reason I am not supporting Trump. You do understand the difference between reporting the news about Trump and supporting him as my candidate, don’t you?
Maybe this will help, I do posts about cold weather and higher than average snow and I don’t support either of them. I dread winter. I hate cold and snow.
You’re doing a great job of showing support for him. You “up” most comments that speak favorably of Trump, you hate immigrants, and you post 3-4 times a week about how well Trump is doing and how impressive his support is, and how it’s great how he’s sticking it to the “Establishment”, whatever that means. You’re practically indistinguishable from a Trump supporter.
I have no idea what ‘sticking it to the establishment’ means either, a phrase I don’t use. Thanks for giving me and the blog so much attention.
A honest thank you for allowing me to post on the issue of { VA } illegal immigration and where our elected officials have had opportunity missed.
Trump does not have his head buried in the political sands of the republican party,
a quality of a leader.
To all others there is a saying ; Lead , Follow , or Get out of the Way.
Life is good!??By the way I’ll be live in Cleveland broadcasting from Quicken Loan Center Thursday and Friday! Tune me in! #TruckingTheTruth
Live tweeting? Yeah!
Trump vs. Hillary, what are the numbers saying? In the end, it does nothing to beat all the other Republican’s.
Whoever has to beat the Democrat.
And by the way, where is that long promised Republican answer to ObamaCare? Haven’t we been promised over and over that the Republican’s were coming out with their own healthcare plan?
They cannot, under any reasonable circumstance, win with the promise to eliminate ObamaCare, without their own version of the ACA.
How is Trump going to get me to vote for him?
Oh I don’t know. He might make the trains run on time. Let’s see what he does in Cleveland. If Trump hits the W.25th Street food scene, he could own Ohio.