Polls, polls, everywhere a poll

Over the last couple of weeks many polls have been released surveying our Virginia Governor’s race. The latest was released today by the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University. Their poll shows Democrat Ralph Northam beating Republican Ed Gillespie for Governor 47% to 41% with Libertarian Cliff Hyra at 4% and 8% of voters undecided.  The poll also sampled down-ballot candidates and found Democrat Justin Fairfax beating Republican Jill Vogel for Lt. Governor 46% to 42% with 13% undecided.  In the race for Attorney General Democrat incumbent Mark Herring leads Republican John Adams 47% to 42% with 11% undecided.

The Wason Center poll also asked voters who they would vote for in the House of Delegates, the Republican candidate in their district or the Democrat candidate.  Democrats took that too, 47% to 40% with 13% undecided.  That question is rather meaningless since the results don’t reflect the truth, Republicans will easily maintain control in the House of Delegates.

In the Mary Washington University Poll released September 18th showed Northam leading 44% with Gillespie at 39%. The same day Suffolk University in Boston released a poll showing the race a dead heat with the candidates tied at 42%.

An outlier poll was released last week from Quinnipiac showing Northam leading by 10%, with 51% for Northam and 41% for Gillespie.

A recent Mason-Dixon poll shows the race to very tight with Northam ahead by just 1%, 44% to 43%.

The bottom line, the race is too close to call with the vast majority of polls within the margin of error.  This year’s races are far from over. Republicans need to continue to work hard and we will prevail in November.