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Super Tuesday Predictions

written by Guest Contributor John Fredericks March 1, 2016

That percentage is too low, don’t you think?
 
In May 2015, I predicted Donald Trump would be the 2016 GOP presidential nominee.

That’s looking good today. It will look better tonight.

Here’s our breakdown:
 
REPUBLICANS
Bottom line: Trump has huge night, Cruz survives Texas, Rubio goes 0-11

Delegate count to date: Trump 82  Cruz 17  Rubio 16  Kasich 6  Carson 4

Delegates at stake tonight: 595 across 11 states.

Prediction: Trump wins 10 states and 333 delegates, increases his total to 415. The eventual GOP nominee needs 1,237.

State by State: 

Virginia – 49 delegates at stake –Trump

Trump will win about 40% of the vote, garnering 18 or 19 of the 46 available delegates in Virginia’s completely proportional system.  (The other three of 49 Virginia’s GOP delegates are Republican National Committee members, who are not bound by the primary).  Trump beats second place Marco Rubio by 12 points.

Georgia: Trump
Oklahoma: Trump
Massachusetts: Trump
Minnesota: Trump
Tennessee: Trump
Alabama: Trump
Vermont: Trump
Texas: Cruz
Arkansas: Trump
Colorado: Trump

DEMOCRATS
Bottom Line: A very big night for Hillary Clinton. But Sanders soldiers on with wins in Vermont, Massachusetts and Minnesota. His pathway to Philadelphia narrows, however.  

Delegate count to date: Clinton 546  Sanders 87

Delegates at stake tonight: 865 across 11 states

Prediction: Clinton wins 8 states and 674 delegates, increases her total to 1,220. The eventual Democratic nominee needs 2,383.

Virginia – 95 delegates at stake –Clinton

Clinton sweeps all 95 in a blowout – Big Winner: Terry McAuliffe

Georgia: Clinton
Oklahoma: Clinton
Massachusetts: Sanders
Minnesota: Sanders  
Tennessee: Clinton
Alabama: Clinton
Vermont: Sanders
Texas: Clinton
Arkansas: Clinton
Colorado: Clinton

BONUS: Alabama GOP primary: Senator Richard Shelby (R) survives a stiff Tea Party challenge: 52-48%.


John Fredericks is a Virginia based radio talk show host heard Monday-Friday 6-10 AM on WHKT AM 1650-Hampton Roads, WNTW AM 820-Richmond, WBRG Super Talk 1050, 106.7 FM and 104.5 FM – Lynchburg, Lexington, Danville and Farmville. Online: http://tunein.com/radio/WHKT-1650-s29343/


 Don’t miss our Super Tuesday RECAP Edition tomorrow live from Charlottesville, Virginia! 

Super Tuesday Predictions was last modified: March 1st, 2016 by Guest Contributor John Fredericks

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Guest Contributor John Fredericks

John Fredericks is a syndicated morning radio talk show host based in Washington D.C. Fredericks show can be heard weekdays 6-10 a.m. on WNTW AM 820 & 92.7 FM NEWS-TALK in Richmond, WJFN 100.5 FM in Charlottesville and west Henrico, WPMH AM 1010 & 100.1 FM and 96.7 FM News-Talk in Hampton Roads, WBRG SuperTalk AM 1050 and 105.1 FM in Lynchburg and Roanoke and WBOB AM 600 & 101.1 FM in Jacksonville, FL. The John Fredericks show is streamed live through his APP: http://www.johnfredericksradio.com/install-app

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