Today Christopher Newport Wason Center released a new poll today showing Northam up over Gillespie 50% to 43%. Just two days ago, Hampton University poll showed the opposite, Gillespie up by 8%.
Today’s poll also showed LG candidate Justin Fairfax over Jill Vogel by 47% to 44%, well within the margin of error. In the race for Attorney General, Mark Herring leads John Adams 49% to 44% with Adams continuing to move up while Herring moves down.
From the CNU poll’s summary:
As we approach Election Day and the structure of the likely electorate becomes clearer, the advantage appears to be opening up for the Democratic ticket,” said Rachel Bitecofer, assistant director of the Wason Center. “We’re also seeing mounting evidence of a Trump effect at the top of the ticket.
There is NO evidence that this is true and poll offers none.
The big flaw can be seen in the poll’s demographics. 69% of the people polled had a college degree or better. The US census tells only 36.3% of the population of Virgina has a college degree or higher. This is why all the polls were wrong about Trump. Pollsters like to over poll the highly educated. CNU has just done the same thing, making this poll less than valid.
44 comments
I looked at the numbers this weekend and it appears that Jeanine is totally wrong with her review of the poll. Without commenting on if the poll will correctly predict the winner, I can easily point out that Jeanine’s attempt to fault the poll for a liberal bias because of the education numbers is totally off base. It turns out that polls like this only concern themselves with likely voters, not the entire population of the stats. And it turns out that likely voters have a high education level then the state – So, Jeanine, your high school view of this poll and your accusation that CNU is using the poll for some liberal agenda conspiracy is simply wrong, wrong, wrong.
Perhaps the 4×4’s and 4×8’s I put up across the street from the CNU bookstore hit a nerve, Look at the house next to the White & White Law Office on Sweetbriar Drive..Guess I will add some Hillary for prison signs next.. That always drives the local democrat snowflakes to screaming hysterics https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/9f50eb0b2d5d9698877ea81130bf110c4a6c90ecedf6cff61d30402dd1fddc7d.png ..
Well, unlike this year, at least we will have a Republican running in next years election contest.
Stewart in 18’
Stewart isn’t a republican. He belongs to whomever made the largest donation.
Stewart HAD to run for higher office. It’s highly unlikely he could be re-elected to his current position.
His supporters need to speak with those who know Corey best.
so really smart people keep voting for the same crappy incumbents!
Not smart but fully indoctrinated by socialism.
Educated and informed. I am sure you realize that you are thought to be indoctrinated by the radical right, white Christian fasicists
Oh no my friend, it’s the liberal elite who think they know everything when nothing could be further from the truth.
Not your friend. Would never have friends with so much self righteous hate in their hearts
I do agree that those who are educated are the elite.
Then you must think Donald Trump is educated. You can’t be more elite than the President of the United States.
He did get an MBA. The guy is not dumb. An idiot yes. But dumb no
Oops, running out of legitimate response, throws in the “hate” word. That’s so pathetic.
Yeah you can always tell when SD runs out of actual argument … because that’s when s/he gets really nasty.
And you know the word racist is soon to follow, and/or homophobe.
Not much of a refute. I notice you did not deny it. You only complained that people notice. Same old radical right behavior
You’ve proven my point. Thank you for being so obliging. It’s odd that progressives don’t recognize the self-righteous hatred within themselves, even when they type it out for all to see.
THIS
No hatred of you hear. Pity yes. Hatred no
Thought to be, yes. They’ve been told to believe that by people who have not had a single conversation with a conservative.
I regularly talk to a number of progressives. Even though I disagree with their point of view, I understand why they feel the way they do. However, I’ve found very few of them make any attempt to understand why conservatives believe what they do.
I have come to the firm conclusion that most don’t WANT to understand because they enjoy feeling contemptuous. It bolsters the feeling of superiority which is almost universal among progressives. If they understood, they might feel equal to a conservative, and they won’t allow that to happen. They won’t risk shattering their view of themselves as superior, which is so much a part of their psyche.
I have talked to many of you people. Many of those times are when you come to my door to spread Christianity and convert me to your side. Keep it classy
Huh? Are you talking about Jehovah Witnesses? They aren’t Christian. And they have absolutely nothing to do with politics. It’s against their rules to engage in it. I’ve never had anyone try to convert me in my entire life, not when I was democrat or the last 25 years that I’ve been a Republican. No one ever tried to convert me to any religion.
What a bizarre thing to say.
You are once again falling back on stereotypes. You are assuming all conservatives are evangelicals, which is a false assumption and merely proves my point that most progressives know nothing at all about conservatives.
I’m a conservative but not an Evangelical. See? We do exist. Conservatives can be evangelicals, atheists, and everything in between.
Geongo….debate with a liberal is a waste of time, keystrokes and bandwidth. And God knows I’ve tried till I’m blue in the face….Years ago I ran across that phrase: “Liberalism is a mental disease”…and kinda chuckled at it…More and more, I’m giving it serious consideration as valid.
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/770a1813414f3f3820a2a24042ec822349ea73dbd9a749ec8d37bc3fe6b27bd2.jpg
I’ve come to the same conclusion, I fear. Tell a liberal that 2+2=4, and they will swear it equals 5. You can show them in several ways that 2+2=4, and they will go to their graves screaming, “it’s 5! It’s 5, I tell you! 5! 5! 5!”
It changes nothing since the answer will always be 4!
Hmmm….”you people.” Is that a racial slur? A dog whistles, perhaps? An ethic slur? I may have to report you to the PC police.
If they didn’t have their hatred and anger, what would be left of them? Nothing.
Play the numbers anyway you want, the result is still negative for the GOP.
No Passion + No Message = No Votes. The rule of boxing, and politics.
Ed coulda been a contender. Time to swing for a knock out.
perhaps this poll predict correctly or perhaps it predicts wrong. The actual election will tell
you are wrong though about a bias around education levels. If you look at the overall picture of high school or above, this poll has it at 87% and the census from 2015 has at 88%.
so much for your reading and comprehension ability
Perhaps it’s you who cannot read. The poll demographics show 69% of those polled had a college degree or higher and only 9% with high school or less.
I added in those with vocational schooling to my numbers – you seem to want to prove bias form CNU that simply does not exist. The number say you are wrong – but then again, this is normal for your attempt to smear all those unlike yourself
Sd..reading comprehension a problem?
They may be highly indoctrinated rather than educated. Since most of the professors tend left, it isn’t surprising that their students tend left.
Kind a sad that you are saying anyone who is educated and knowledgeable about the world goes against all you stand for???
Just a little story for you. I intended to work on a Doctorate and selected a well know thesis adviser. I asked him if there were any good dissertations that might give me some ideas on how to structure such a document. His comment: For the past couple of decades, thanks to EEO, we have been passing women and minorities through with dissertation that are junk.” He could not in good conscience recommend a single dissertation produced at that school and suggested I simply do the best I could.
Bottom line: Education doesn’t mean education when things like this happens. But I am sure your idea of social justice for inadequate work effort was well served.
A little story for you – once upon a time a guy calling himself Warmac9999 did some cool things. 40 years later, it is 2017 and all he has are stories of the good old days and irrelevancy. The end
You have problems with the truth. But that is not a surprise as emotions are more important to you than facts or reason.
I just ready the internals and yes – way off on the education demographic. Wondering about the income levels shown….they seem too high! Of course the liberal reporters at WRVA in Richmond are touting the poll results.
Astute observation, Jeanine.
Thank you!
It seems that the message of this poll is supposed to be that “All the smart kids are voting for the Democrats.”
Yup! You got it!
Talk about peer pressure. Vote Democrat – all the cool and smart people do it.
Let us not confuse smart and educated. They are not necessarily the same thing.
Only because there are no Republicans running in this poll. Only establishment trash.