According to the latest NBC/WSJ/Marist poll Clinton is ahead in 4 key swing states, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina and Colorado. Her biggest lead is in Virginia where Trump trails by 9. (Sounds like Hillary won’t need Kaine on the ticket to carry Virginia.)
Neither candidate is popular with the electorate:
- Colorado: Clinton 34 percent favorable, 62 percent unfavorable (-28); Trump 27 percent favorable, 67 percent unfavorable (-40).
- Florida: Clinton 37 percent favorable, 58 percent unfavorable (-21); Trump 34 percent favorable, 61 percent unfavorable (-27).
- North Carolina: Clinton 37 percent favorable, 58 percent unfavorable (-21); Trump 31 percent favorable, 61 percent unfavorable (-30).
- Virginia: Clinton 37 percent favorable, 58 percent unfavorable (-21); Trump 29 percent favorable, 65 percent unfavorable (-36).
Other polls show the race much closer in Florida and North Carolina.
Should Trump lose all four of these swing states he would need to win Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada to pull out a win.
More here and here.