In the latest Monmouth University Poll of Iowa voters Scott Walker leads with 22%, followed by Donald Trump at 13%. Following Walker and Trump are Ben Carson (8%), Jeb Bush (7%), Ted Cruz (7%), Mike Huckabee (6%), Marco Rubio (5%), Rand Paul (5%), and Bobby Jindal (4%). Rick Santorum (3%) Rick Perry (3%), and Carly Fiorina (3%) are tied for 10th place. The other candidates have 2% or less including John Kasich (2%), Chris Christie (1%), George Pataki (<1%), Lindsey Graham (0%), and Jim Gilmore (0%) with 11% of caucus goers are undecided. [read_more]
More interesting, Walker leads with every voting group. From the poll,
Tea Party – Walker leads Trump 27% to 14% among Tea Party supporters, with Ted Cruz in coming third at 12%. Among non-supporters of the Tea Party, Walker has a nominal lead (18%), followed by Trump (11%), Bush (11%), and Carson (9%).
Ideology – Very conservative voters line up behind Walker (22%), Trump (14%) and Cruz (12%) as their top picks. Somewhat conservative voters back Walker (23%), followed by Trump (12%), Carson (10%), and Bush (10%). Moderate to liberal voters choose Walker (19%), Bush (15%), Trump (10%), Rubio (10%), and Carson (10%) as their top tier.
Evangelicals – Evangelical voters favor Walker (17%), Trump (13%), Cruz (10%), Carson (10%), and Huckabee (9%). Non-evangelical voters prefer Walker (26%), Trump (12%), and Bush (10%).
Gender – Walker and Trump take the top two spots with both male (24% and 16%, respectively) and female (19% and 10%) caucusgoers.
Age – Walker (25%) is the clear favorite among voters age 50 and older, followed by Trump (13%) and Carson (9%). Voters under 50 years old spread their support among Walker (13%), Paul (13%), Trump (12%), Cruz (10%), and Rubio (10%).
Governor Walker’s favorability ratings are very high in Iowa with 73% of voters viewing him favorably and only 9% unfavorably. Donald Trump’s favorable/unfavorable rating are significantly lower at 47% to 35%.
When asked their number one concern in choosing their candidate, 28% of Iowa caucus voters chose national security. Other issues of concern were, government spending (18%), the economy (16%), immigration (12%), social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage (11%) and education (4%).
Full poll details here.