What to Expect From the New Hampshire Primary

The New Hampshire primary is much different from the Iowa caucuses and here are a few things you can expect.  New Hampshire is a better predictor of the eventual Republican nominee than the Democrat nominee.  Since 1976 New Hampshire has chosen the Republican nominee 5 times out of 7.  Democrats in New Hampshire have only chosen their nominee once, Jimmie Carter. While the religious right can win in Iowa, they don’t win in New Hampshire.  According to fivethirtyeight.com Donald Trump has a 70% chance of winning the New Hampshire primary.  Bernie Sanders has been leading in New Hampshire since November making it very likely he will win although he is no favorite son.  See more of what to expect on Tuesday in New Hampshire here. 

Tuesday news here.  Some polls had very early results.